WilliWycombe's Willy Hill £10 challenge: Finns, fate and failure

It was all looking so promising a few days ago as my balance soared to an upwardly mobile £9.03. It appeared I was set to break even on my £10 deposit and possibly advance into a position where I could reclaim the £2.50 from my previous losses and make a hasty withdrawal.

Alas, the unhappy quirks of predominantly in-play betting have seen my total decimated as I cling on to the hope of reaching the £12.50 mark.

The breaking news surrounding Finnish football and its match-fixing scandal has added some colour to proceedings. I am beginning to wonder whether KooTeePee v KPV Kokkola (which saw a modest winning return of 14p as a bet on the number of goals scored in the match came through) had been affected.

The Scandinavian leagues, largely active throughout the summer months to avoid harsh winters, must be a mini goldmine for punters au fait with all things 'Norwegian 2. Division - Avdeling 3'.

For the rest of us playing catch-up, let's hope our burgeoning savvy can produce more than just a bus fare to the local Iceland store.

Current Balance-£1.82

Follow me on Twitter @williwycombe as I try to beat the bookie and reach my goal!

WilliWycombe's Willy Hill £10 challenge: Peaks and Troughs

I should have perhaps explained the nature of the challenge in a more lucid way in my previous blog. Just to recap, on the weekend of the Champions League final, I bet £25 of my own hard-earned money and recouped £22.50. In other words, I didn't break even.

I want that £2.50 back and fast. So, I've deposited another £10 in my account with the hope of winning at least £12.50 to cover my previous losses.

I am, however, a betting coward. My strategy thus far has seen very mixed results. I've played safe options, betting 20p here and there to win 6p back and it hasn't been getting me any nearer to my goal.

Last night, I did enjoy some creditable success. Rather than bet on match-winners, I've taken to gambling on the number of goals and whether there will be under or over a certain amount.

The dull Argentinian Primera Division served me well with my prediction that Argentinos Juniors and Estudiantes would conjure less than two goals at 2/1 pulling in £3. I'd also plumped for a goal-fest between Jamaica and Grenada and should have been less conservative than to say there may only be more a guaranteed two goals scored.

This morning, before today's bets were placed, I was edging back towards the original £10 outlay. Here's hoping there's at least one goal in the game between Japan and the Czech Republic and two between Australia and Serbia and the Faroe Islands and Estonia.

Current Balance-£6.53

Follow me on Twitter @williwycombe for live updates and send me your tips to help me reach my target!

WilliWycombe's Willy Hill £10 Challenge: The Beginning of the End

OK, I'll keep this as brief as possible. Last Saturday, to celebrate a rendevous with some old friends and the Champions League final between Manchester United and Barcelona, I opened an online betting account (the clue is in the title with regards to the company I've sold my soul to).

Over the course of the weekend I'd deposited £25 and through a series of bets involving the aforementioned game and the League One play-off final, I'd managed to recoup £22.50.

So I'm £2.50 down and anxious to claw it back. I must have mug tattooed on my forehead as they probably say in a Guy Ritchie film.

I don't need to elaborate at this point but I have pretty average luck as a punter. But I'm cheesed off. I want that £2.50. Bad.

I've deposited a further £10 with the aim of reaching an account balance of £12.50 to get back my second load and the remaining precious funds to 'break even'. I'm eager to beat the bookie.

My challenge started off yesterday (today?) with mixed results. The Miami Heat spunked a 15-point lead to hand the second game of their NBA Eastern Conference Finals series to their revitalised opponents, the Dallas Mavericks.

Thankfully, Argentina's Velez Sarsfield got me back on track with a narrow 2-1 win over Uruguayan side Penarol, who went through on away goals to the Copa Libertadores final.

Cue the Epsom Derby and Euro 2012 qualifying. I've plumped for Recital with an each-way bet at 5/1. The poor bugger doesn't even know who his rider will be as jockey Kieron Fallon awaits the outcome of an appeal hearing brought by owner Ibrahim Araci who claims the Irishman had already agreed to ride his horse, Native Khan, in the showpiece race. The decision is expected to be announced at around 9am tomorrow.

Anyhoo, this evening Italy, Germany (just!) and in-play bets on Liechtenstein (albeit at 2-0 up), and a Croatia turnaround conjoured valuable winnings. Alas, nervy in-play stabs at Lithuania, Georgia and Austria to snatch draws offset my success.

I've stuck 30p on LA Galaxy to do the business against DC United early tomorrow morning (UK time), Montenegro to beat Bulgaria and for both teams NOT to score in the England v Switzerland game. The latter has me slightly anxious as the Swiss may go all-out at Wembley to salvage something from their qualifying campaign.

Follow me in my quest to reach the magic £12.50 mark and feel free to leave any tips you think I might find helpful!

Twitter: @williwycombe

Current balance: £6.64

And then there were four...

Two weeks, two successive recoveries from two goal deficits and Wycombe Wanderers continue to desperately cling to the one remaining automatic promotion place in npower League Two.

Arguably, the Blues' ability to rescue themselves from seemingly hopeless positions displays encouraging resolve however the trite obviousness of the necessity to claim as many of the twelve remaining points available, beginning with the Good Friday trip to promotion rivals Torquay United, is apparent.

Whilst Wycombe have remained defiant in their quest to secure a quick-fire return to League One, familar signs of the end of season implosions that have featured throughout the past decade raise tangible fears of anti-climatic misfortune.

In evaluating the final four fixtures of the season, Arm Chairs & Deck Chairs reflects on a few of the comparable run-ins from recent years where success and failure at the telling denouement have manifested themselves in differing ways.

1998/1999: (Notts County, Blackpool, Wigan Athletic, Lincoln City)

The merits and subsequent deteoriation of Lawrie Sanchez's tenure as Wycombe manager have been much discussed recently following comments made by attendees at a club dinner to commemorate the heroic FA Cup run that culminated in the semi-final against Liverpool.

Sanchez's personal skills may have been scrutinised as the team he inherited and built upon became stale at the turn of the new century however most Wycombe Wanderers historians now seem to prefer the revisionist approach to assessing the Northern Irishman's time at the helm.

Hired to replace Neil Smillie during the 1998/1999 campaign, Sanchez's Wycombe adventure began with one of its finest hours as he helped to save the club from
relegation to the former 'Division Three'.

With only two defeats in the final eleven games of the season, one of those a dispiriting 1-0 reverse at Meadow Lane to Notts County, the Wanderers embarked upon the 'Great Escape' and they would enjoy another five seasons in the third tier of English football before falling down the ladder in 2004.

Losing in Nottingham meant that defeating Blackpool at Adams Park appeared even more imperative. One of Sanchez's most astute purchases was striker Sean Devine, who had initially joined on-loan from Barnet. He netted his seventh goal since his arrival a few months previously as Wycombe twice took the lead before the visitors claimed a point, meaning that the Chairboy's fate was no longer in their own hands.

Contained within similar tales of triumph over adversity, there are quirks of fate that aid the victorious party. It was perhaps fortunate that when Wigan Athletic made the long trip south to Buckinghamshire for the penultimate game of the season, they had played six games in two weeks in their own pursuit of glory, namely achieving play-off qualification.

As the visitors threatened to extinguish Wycombe's survival hopes with a Simon Hawarth opener, two heroes of the battle to beat the drop combined to ensure that the Chairboys could at least attempt to look forward to the pivotal trip to Sincil Bank to meet Lincoln City for a relegation decider as the Latics tired.

A Sean Devine effort and a first Wycombe goal for striker Paul Emblen, a £60,000 signing from Charlton Athletic, completed the home side's comeback.

Merely three days later, 2,643 Blues fans travelled north to witness the ushering in of a new era of hope following a period of stagnation post-Martin O'Neill.

The aforementioned Emblen sent a looping header into the top of the Lincoln net with just seven minutes left to send the Blue hoardes wild with delight. The 1-0 victory completed an incredible final four games for Wycombe, a microcosm of a season full of emotions encapsulated by defeat and just enough success to stay above the condemned.

2002/2003: (Cheltenham Town, Port Vale, Colchester United, Plymouth Argyle)

If the culmination to the 1998/99 season represented the re-birth of Wycombe's Football League ambitions then the manner in which the 2002/2003 campaign crawled to a disappointing finale surely achieved the opposite.

It has been described as 'one of the worst seasons' in living memory, a turgid campaign characterised by a lack of fluidity in Wycombe's play and an outmoded focus on strength over technical ability. The winds of change that were sweeping through the club as Lawrie Sanchez approached his personal endgame are perfectly evinced by this quartet of harrowing encounters.

In the dewey-eyed haze of the FA Cup run, Wycombe had made a credible charge for the play-offs during the first-half of the 2001/2002 season however a traumatic 4-1 home defeat to Blackpool on a drizzly Tuesday night put paid to any legitimate hopes of promotion.

That evening is widely regarded as a watershed moment in Wycombe's recent history and that of Sanchez's reign.

Where Wycombe had previously dispatched of most visitors to Adams Park, the fortress was now far less impregnable. Memorable scalps of the 'giants' of the division were replaced by ignominous defeats where the strength of the squad was questioned.

Although still full of endeavour, the notable victories of the previous season, such as those over Stoke City and Wigan Athletic, were replaced by a 4-0 hammering against a rampant Cardiff City side and even a disastrous 4-1 collapse at home to Stockport County having taken a 1-0 lead in the 65th minute.

A 1-1 draw against Cheltenham Town at Adams Park, who would eventually fall to the Football League's basement division, effectively secured Wycombe's place amongst the twenty-four sides in Division Two for at least another year.

The depressing nature of the contest lives long in the memory. The Gloucestershire side deservedly equalised one minute from time through the diminutive journeyman, Tony Naylor, to cancel out Steve Brown's opener from the penalty spot.

This encounter was a 90-minute summation of the ineffective, dreary percentage football that the Blues had resorted to. Although Cheltenham's attempts to avoid relegation were ultimately in vain, they travelled to Buckinghamshire full of purpose and were it not for the woeful finishing of Damien Spencer and Kayode Odejayi in front of a disbelieving Valley End, they could have emerged comfortable victors.

The erstwhile squad were fading with left-back Chris Vinnicombe in particular, often regarded as the team's 'Mr Consistent', suffering at the feet of Port Vale on the Easter Monday.

The Blues earned a point from Vale Park courtesy of a headed goal from maligned striker, Richard Harris, whose ability to dispatch rocket-like long-throws into the opposition penalty area became symbolic with the team's desperate malaise.

If the Chairboys faithful were hoping for some end of season cheer at home to old rivals, Colchester United, there was more disappointment.

The U's could have left with more than just one point following a drab 0-0 draw however Kemal Izzet's header smacked back off the crossbar. Wycombe could only fire tame efforts towards the Essex side's goal as the season continued to peter out.

By the time Wycombe meekly finished the 46th league game of a forgettable season with defeat to Plymouth Argyle, most were past caring.


2008/2009: (Aldershot Town, Luton Town, Port Vale, Notts County)

As divided as opinion remains on the 'wow factor' of only the second Football League promotion that the Wanderers have achieved, it's worth mentioning that Taylor's charges only lost once in the final four games of this particular season.

It could be argued that the opposition in question had less to play for than those in upcoming fixtures, however Taylor's Blues did just about enough to win a place in League One despite a last-day setback.

Current Wanderers incumbent Gary Waddock and his former employers, Aldershot Town, were enjoying their first season back in the Football League since their resignation in 1992. The Hampshire club had the worst away record in the division and probably travelled to Adams Park on Saturday 18th April 2009 with more hope than expectation, as the Wanderers ran out 3-0 winners.

There was still immense pressure on the Blues to not falter at the final hurdle and as yours truly anxiously huddled around a laptop, whilst frantically clicking the refresh button from the comfort of an undisclosed Dorset location, history was being made.

John Akinde, an explosive loan signing from Bristol City, had breathed fresh life into a season where Peter Taylor's model of efficiency had at times failed to tighten its grip on claiming all three points when called upon.

The Nigerian striker's 56th minute winner at Kenilworth Road against Luton Town ensured a 1-0 victory that seemed to draw the Wanderers tantalisingly close to a return to the third tier following a five year absence.

A win in the following game against Port Vale would have sent the 1,000 travelling Blues contingent into raptures and sealed automatic promotion however Wycombe could only escape with a point after Lee Sawyer's late equaliser.

Requiring only a draw from their final game at Adams Park against Notts County, a team who had in the past been home cannon fodder, Wycombe performed the inevitable and slipped to a 2-1 defeat.

A Football League record attendance of 9,625 fell into deadly silence following the away side's 90th minute winner before news finally filtered through that the Blues had prevailed by the narrowest of margins, a superior goal difference of just one.

The repercussions of the half-hearted pitch invasion that ensued were deemed by some to be more noteworthy than the nature of the promotion itself.

As the Blues prepare to face fierce promotion rivals Torquay United and Bury, sandwiched between equally as crucial games against Crewe Alexandra and Southend United, it will take another herculean effort to persevere.

Seventy-eight points in 2009 were barely enough to start the party. You get the feeling it will take at least that total and perhaps a couple more to raise the roof two years on.

Peter Taylor's side left their slip-up to the final day. Gary Waddock's version of Oxford and Cambridge blue might not even have that luxury.

'Summer of rage' arrives late in Bournemouth and Poole

Two years ago, police chiefs warned of an impending 'summer of rage' in response to the repercussions of the economic collapse during 2008.

Superintendent David Hartshorn, head of Scotland Yard's public order branch, told The Guardian in February 2009 that conditions were ripe for disorder and established activists "would be good at motivating people, but they haven't had the 'footsoldiers' to actually
carry out [protests]."

Today, there are clear signs of co-ordinated action by a number of political groups with local interests throughout Bournemouth and Poole, a broad spectrum of residents affected by upcoming cuts, not characterised by the stereotypes often afforded to a minority of anarchists whose actions have previously threatened to overshadow the wider protest movement.

These people are not merely 'footsoldiers', they are the disenfranchised with a legitimate voice-doctors, nurses, teachers and those others understandably angry and frightened by the prospect of job losses, pay freezes and economic uncertainty as the gap between rich and poor reaches its widest point 'since the Second World War'.

A co-ordinated national raft of demonstrations by protest group UK Uncut took in destinations from 'London to Hawaii' and reached Bournemouth in between over the past weekend.

Demonstrators unhappy with proposed cuts to services by the coalition government targetted a branch of the Royal Bank of Scotland in Bournemouth town centre on Saturday, a clear display of the group's dissatisfaction with the 84% state-owned bank paying more than 100 of its bankers over £1m last year as services such as hospitals and creches suffer.

The Bournemouth strand of UK Uncut were soon met by opposition, however, with Police Community Support Officer's warning protesters they faced a £60 fine for handing out leaflets to highlight their cause, following complaints from members of the public. It later emerged these were employees from the bank.

During an interview with the Bournemouth Echo, music teacher and group member Paul Williams, 41, from Redhill, Bournemouth, told the local newspaper that he was "campaigning against Government cuts, against bank bonuses and the leaflets also clearly stated our opposition to local cuts to libraries", in response to attending council officers who argued members were breaching the Clean Neighbourhoods and Environment Act.

The Act allows for distribution of leaflets for charity or political or religious purposes. It would appear the Council are somewhat confused with regards to the nature of UK Uncut's grievances, overtly political and perhaps too radical for councillors to comprehend in a newly emboldened local political landscape.

Inspector Peter Browning from Dorset Police commented that the protestors had been "warned about by-laws in the area".

Whilst it is reassuring to hear that the law is being safeguarded, even if subject to debate given the circumstances, Inspector Browning might perhaps feel a modicum of empathy with protesters angry at cuts to frontline services, especially given the recent announcement that Dorset Police would be culling 530 posts over the next four years.

Chief Constable Martin Baker lamented how his is "consistently the worst funded force in the country in terms of government grant per resident".

Another protest was planned to take place this evening outside the Civic Centre in Poole, organised by the Bournemouth and Poole Anti Cuts Coalition (BPACC).

Dismayed at plans made by Poole Borough to make £14 million worth of cuts with as many as 160 job losses, Darren Brown, BPACC chair, made the group's feelings known.

"These cuts will affect real people – and those who need the services most will suffer the most. That simply isn’t fair" he said.

What's clear is that groups such as the BPACC, who are planning a number of demonstrations in the lead up to May council elections, are a sign that locals in the conurbation are mobilising to ensure their voice is heard. The outcome and success of their actions is still unclear however one thing is certain-the collective will of residents to freely protest will not be deterred by officious bye-laws and indifference with so much at stake.

Bournemouth's Continuation of Violence

The last few months have witnessed an alarming increase in violent attacks throughout Bournemouth.

A vicious assault on a taxi driver, grandfather Thomas Newton, during an altercation with two men on Monday night, has further highlighted the perilous continuation of violence in the area.

Mr. Newton's aggressors had demanded money from the father-of-four at the culmination of a journey that was supposed to end peacefully in Boscombe. When the taxi had pulled up in Adeline Road, the attack began, which included the use of a knife, leaving the driver with a neck wound that required three stitches.

The 66-year-old victim has courageously vowed to return to work on Wednesday evening and told the Bournemouth Daily Echo, "It’s made me nervous and I keep looking over my shoulder...I want these men caught and also want to make other taxi drivers aware of the very real dangers they face.”

Violent crime numbers fell across the Bournemouth Division according to the latest statistics made available by Dorset Police. Between April 2007 and March 2008, cases of 'violence against the person' fell by nearly 10% although detections actually fell by close to 600 instances.

Details of Thomas Newton's harrowing ordeal were published as news of another story of violence emerged on Wednesday. These issues will currently appear far more pertinent than outdated police figures. After all, were it not for passing sanitation workers, Mr. Newton could have endured a far worse fate.

Three men are wanted for questioning following an incident on February 4 outside the Bournemouth International Centre where a 22-year-old man from Poole sustained bruising to the head.

In a week that has also seen the conclusion to one of the most high-profile murder cases in the town's history and the conviction of Alan Pickersgill, fears of violent crime have moved onto the agenda.

Pickersgill, 37, has been given a life sentence for the murder of Julie Bywater at his Southbourne flat in May 2010.

The Echo's Neal Butterworth, in his summation of the tragic event, somewhat reductively labelled Pickersgill 'a wrong 'un', which he undoubtedly was although such terminology obviously doesn't begin to describe the full extent of his complex psychosis.

The fact remains that whilst any large town has to grimly expect the inevitabilities of social disorder; Bournemouth's residents have had recent cause to closely examine the deteriorating situation around them.

Wycombe Wanderers Plot Path to Promotion

Wycombe Wanderers thrashed Burton Albion 4-1 on Tuesday evening to avoid the ignominy of losing four League Two games in a row for the first time since 2007.

The win has seen the Blues clamber back into the automatic promotion positions and up to second place as they plot their path to promotion with fifteen games remaining.

Manager Gary Waddock brought in Lewis Montrose for maligned loanee Scott Donnelly and Jon Paul-Pittman in place of the slightly more unfortunate talisman, Stuart Beavon.

Although Montrose had only featured for the Blues twice since November, his inclusion was certainly no gamble by Waddock as he produced a swashbuckling display of commitment and poise. Montrose's fine evening was capped off by his deflected effort, Wycombe's second goal, that looped over Burton goalkeeper Adam Legzdins.

The midfielder's delight at scoring his first goal since September was clearly evident as he took the plaudits from the crowd and his team-mates before exhaling deeply as he skipped back to the half-way line, closed eyes and a vocal expression of cathartic jubilation visible to all.

In truth, Wycombe could easily have scored more, the aforementioned Pittman was unlucky not to score his second goal for the Blues since returning from his five-month injury lay-off, his electric pace troubling the visitor's defence all evening and the striker's two quick-fire efforts after Wycombe's first goal had to be parried away to safety by Legzdins.

Wycombe's recent poor run had seen them fall to fourth place in the npower League Two table however the Burton game represented a chance to reclaim the upper hand on their promotion rivals.

An all-round strong team performance began with midfielder Stuart Lewis shuffling through a static Burton defence, with referee Oliver Langford obstructing the advancing defender, to calmly fire the ball into the back of net with only 10 minutes gone before Montrose's effort increased the Wanderers' advantage on the half-hour mark.

Lewis, awarded a well-deserved man of match accolade, then proceeded to score the goal of the evening and possibly Wycombe's best goal of the season. In what is looking to be a gem of a signing from Dagenham and Redbridge, the midfielder added to his burgeoning reputation amongst Blues fans by unleashing an unstoppable low drive into the bottom right-hand corner of the Valley End net.

Following the game, Lewis declared to wwfc.com, that it was his 'best game ever' and one he understandably thoroughly enjoyed.

It was perhaps obvious that Burton manager Paul Peschisolido would chasten his team during the half-time interval and demand the addition of composure and zeal to their play. The Brewers had lost Calvin Zola to a hamstring injury during the first-half, a crushing blow as despite his wayward control and finishing, he had looked their most promising attacking outlet until he was replaced by Greg Pearson.

The aforementioned Pearson looked to exploit Alan Bennett's comparitive lack of pace as Burton appeared reinvigorated following the resumption of the game. The reward for their endeavour was Sam Winnall's close-range effort to reduce the deficit eleven minutes into the second-half and the away side were beginning to unsettle Wycombe who had failed to replicate the intensity they displayed prior to the break.

Any hopes the Brewers were harbouring of a dramatic comeback were extinguished when the veteran Moore tussled with the lively Pittman who was rewarded with a penalty kick. Stuart Lewis had an eye on claiming his first senior hat-trick although he had to settle for a brace as striker Scott Rendell stepped up to score his 12th goal of the season, in front of just 3,345 fans at Adams Park.

The Blues issued the perfect response to a week of disappointment that saw consecutive defeats to Bradford City, Southend United and Accrington Stanley.

As the 2010/2011 season prepares to usher in its spring denouement, Wanderers will travel to Macclesfield Town and league leaders Chesterfield in the next week, two sides who had beaten them by a 2-1 scoreline in the reverse fixtures.

Following the victory over Burton, Wycombe have now won 8 of their 16 games against teams in the bottom-half of League Two this season. Macclesfield, however, enjoy a seven point cushion over Stockport County in the last remaining relegation place and will be buoyed by their 2-0 home triumph against Morecambe yesterday.

The journey to Derbyshire to meet league pacesetters Chesterfield next Tuesday evening represents a stern test for Waddock's charges although they will take confidence from previous away wins against members of the current top seven, including a 4-3 victory over Rotherham United and a 2-0 win at Priestfield, the home of Gillingham.

The last and only time I attempted to predict the outcome of all 46 games in a regular Football League season was prior to the 2002/2003 campaign. I ambitiously plumped for the Blues team in question to reach the play-offs. As it turned out, the season was a campaign of listless disenchantment and Wycombe Wanderers finished 18th in Division Two, playing some of the worst football in the club's recent history.

The 'Sanchez Way' to promotion following the FA Cup honeymoon season that was 2001/2002 was to be a return to outmoded drudgery and aimless percentage football, a strategy of methodical zonal domination with long-balls into pre-determined danger areas, a philosophy arguably still favoured by Wycombe's erstwhile manager.

This 'revolutionary' approach ultimately imploded with feverish expectations of possible promotion to what was then Division One going unfulfilled with Sanchez becoming increasing fraught at any perceived criticism aimed towards him and the team. The protracted decline that led to relegation in 2004 had already cost the former Wimbledon FA Cup hero his job and I have not been comfortable commenting on any upcoming Wanderers game since.

Alas, this meandering digression may illustrate the futile hopelessness of my powers of prediction altough it also leads into further analysis of the challenges that lie ahead.

The Wanderers still have to travel to Shrewsbury Town, Bury and local rivals Oxford United besides having the pleasure of the visits of Northampton Town and a potentially charged affair with Aldershot to negotiate.

Whilst I am not prepared to risk damaging the team's promotion chances with further outlandish conjecture, there can surely be little chance of collapse if Wycombe continue in the same vein as yesterday evening.

If the Blues can continue to be exponents of this type of high-tempo, pressure football that is often accompanied by the clinical precision as demonstrated against Burton, then re-establishing themselves in the top three will represent an achievable goal.

As Gary Waddock enthused to skysports.com after the match, "we knew they would respond because they are an excellent group of players and they put it right."

Let's hope that for the majority of Wycombe's remaining fifteen games, the Blues continue to find the winning formula as they bid for promotion back to League One.